90th Academy Awards, Early AUGUST

It is now August, which means we’re closer to the Oscars now than we were two weeks ago. But surprisingly, these past two weeks have been buzzing with changes. Now contenders are fighting to become nominees, which formally established nominees, Dunkirk and Detroit, are fighting to stay in the lead.Through it all, Gary Oldman remains the hard lock for Best Lead Actor as Winston Churchill, and Annette Benning began her campaign to newest campaign to finally win her Oscar.Find out who’s on top, who’s broken in, and who’s falling away from their front runner status. (This just became Game of Thrones, the Oscars Nominees edition).

BEST PICTURE

  1. Dunkirk (My pick)
  2. Darkest Hour
  3. The Papers
  4. Call Me By Your Name
  5. Last Flag Flying
  6. The Shape of Water
  7. Wonderstruck
  8. Phantom Thread
  9. Detroit
  10. Blade Runner 2049
  11. Downsizing
  12. Get Out
  13. Mudbound
  14. Mother!
  15. Battle of the Sexes

BEST DIRECTOR:

  1. Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk (my pick)
  2. Steven Spielberg – The Papers
  3. Joe Wright – Darkest Hour
  4. Kathryn Bigelow – Detroit
  5. Luca Guadagnino – Call Me By Your Name
  6. Dee Rees – Mudbound
  7. Paul Thomas Anderson – Phantom Thread
  8. Jordan Peele – Get Out
  9. Guillermo del Toro – The Shape of Water
  10. Alexander Payne – Downsizing

BEST ACTOR IN A LEAD ROLE

  1. Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour (My Pick – Gary Oldman’s Churchill seems to be the strongest potential of any role this year. All other nominees are obsolete (Yes, even Daniel Day Lewis))
  2. Hugh Jackman – The Greatest Showman
  3. Daniel Day Lewis – Phantom Thread
  4. Tom Hanks – The Papers
  5. Bryan Cranston – Last Flag Flying
  6. Matt Damon – Downsizing
  7. Joaquin Phoenix – You Were Never Really Here
  8. Jake Gyllenhaal – Stronger
  9. Denzel Washington – Roman Israel Esq
  10. Chadwick Bozeman – Marshall

BEST ACTRESS IN A LEAD ROLE

  1. Sally Hawkins – The Shape of Water (who I have pegged as #1. I think her acting without speaking will be a plus for her, think Holly Hunter/The Piano/1993.)
  2. Annette Bening – Film Starts Don’t Die in Liverpool (She’s begun her latest campaign to finally win her Oscars).
  3. Emma Stone – Battle of the Sexes (Her consistent ranking in the Top 10 could be good for her to move up later in the season. The Academy might think she’s likable enough to niminate back to back with her first win.)
  4. Meryl Streep – The Papers (She’s Meryl Fucking Streep)
  5. Judi Dench – Victoria and Abdud (Judi Dench + Stephen Frears = Oscar for Judi. Think Philomena/2013.)
  6. Jennifer Lawrence – mother! (She’s the new Meryl Streep, she’s be the next person to receive 20 nominations for acting. If not this year, than next year.)
  7. Kate Winslet – Wonder Wheel (Woody Allen might be at it again, but not as strong as with Blue Jasmine or Midnight in Paris.)
  8. Francis McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Support seems to be waning.)
  9. Claire Foy – Breathe (She’s Emmy nominated for The Crown, but still a fresh face. Think Felicity Jones/The Theory of Everything/2014)
  10. Jessica Chastain – Molly’s Game (Not much info about this movie, even now. Jessica Chastain seems to be the new low rent Anne Hathaway, the actress trying too hard to appeal to the most people as possible. Not her year.)

BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

  1. Michael Stuhlbarg – Call Me By Your Name
  2. Jason Mitchell – Mudbound
  3. Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project
  4. Mary Rylance – Dunkirk (The darling of Broadway theater over the last decade and the London West End veteran offers most of the dialogue in DUNKIRK itself. His performance essentially proves that there was a script written for the film at all. (That is meant to be a compliment to how the film worked without constant dialogue.)))
  5. Steve Carell – Battle of the Sexes (My Pick – Like Foxcatcher/2014, Steve Carell is truly showing he has some real acting chops aside from comedy. He has a strong year, with the third Despicable Me film and Last Flag Flying, he’s strong performance in this film across Emma Stone could be Oscar Gold for Steve.)
  6. Armie Hammer – Call My By Your Name (Might be pushed Lead, though might get pushed Supporting because it lead performances in Supporting categories always seem to win Oscars –> Christoph Waltz/Django Unchaines/2012, Alicia Vikander/The Danish Girl/2015.
  7. Laurence Fishburne – Last Flag Flying (Along with Bryan Cranston and Steve Carell, Last Flag Flying is looking like a real ensemble project. With Carell getting good reviews for Battle of the Sexes, Fishburne might be pushed more than Carell for this film.)
  8. Oscar Isaac – Suburbicon (A big ensemble cast for this film. Oscar Isaac is one of those actors who has yes to be nominated, so this might be his Oscar breakthrough.)
  9. Ben Mendelsohn – Darkest Hour (This film might end up being a Oscar vehicle for Gary Oldman, so other roles in the film might pale in comparison.)
  10. Michael Shannon – The Shape of Water (Support for Shannon seems to be slip between The Shape of Water and The Current War. Shape of Water is picking up more steam since the first trailer was released, so this might become his third nomination in the coming weeks.)

BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

  1. Melissa Leo – Novitaite (Winning in 2010 after heavily campaigning for herself (not so much the movie) Leo might be back for a redemption nomination with her role as a border line evil nun. Her strong and meaty role could get her pushed to Lead.)
  2. Kristin Scott Thomas – Darkest Hour (My Pick – Not sure if the film is all about Gary Oldman, or if Scott Thomas will hold her own against his powerhouse performance.)
  3. Michelle Pfeiffer – mother! (The former Hollywood darling, she hasn’t been nominated since 1992. With her Emmy Nominated performance in The Wizard of Lies, she’s walking back into the spotlight at the perfect time, and could end up nominated for her fourth Oscar.)
  4. Holly Hunter – The Big Sick  (She seems to be getting most of the praise for the film. She’s a past winner and nominee and might be a familiar face for the Academy to vote for.)
  5. Julianne Moore – Wonderstruck (Another familiar face for the Academy, Julianne Moore seems to be getting most of the critical attention for this film. I could see one of the younger actor getting nominated. Todd Haynes also has a good track record of getting his actress nominated for Oscars.)
  6. Mary J Blige – Mudbound (To be honest, this intrigues me. Mary J Blige does not often come to might when I think about music to movie cross overs. After awkwardly singing in Hilary Clinton’s face about American safety, I’m shocked that she’ll even show her face at all.)
  7. Hong Chau – Downsizing (Alexander Payne’s newest project. Chau could be in the running because she’s a minority face in a mostly white cast.)
  8. Octavia Spencer – The Shape of Water (Octavia Spencer seems to be another of the Academy’s new darlings, after landing her second nomination last year with Hidden Figures and winning for The Help.)
  9. Margot Robbie – Goodbye Christopher Robin (She seems to be a star on the rise. Giving a strong performance in Suicide Squad drawing parallels to Heath Ledger in The Dark Knight. Unfortunately, Suicide Squad wasn’t as strong and dragged her down.
  10. Michelle Williams – The Greatest Showman (Not sure if this is going to be a Hugh Jackman show or if she’ll have a chance to shine.
  11. Leslie Manville – Phantom Thread

Best Adapted Screenplay

  1. Call Me By Your Name
  2. Mudbound
  3. Wonderstruck
  4. Last Flag Flying
  5. The Death of Stalin
  6. Victoria and Abdul
  7. Molly’s Game
  8. Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool
  9. Lean on Pete
  10. Blade Runner 2049

Best Original Screenplay

  1. The Shape of Water
  2. Darkest Hour
  3. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  4. Get Out
  5. Downsizing
  6. Phantom Thread
  7. The Papers (There seems to be a debate over there this film is Original or Adapted. Otherwise, this would be much higher.)
  8. Suburbicon
  9. Detroit
  10. Novitaite

Best Animated Feature Film

  1. Coco
  2. The Breadwinner
  3. Ferdinand
  4. The Boss Baby
  5. The LEGO Batman Movie
  6. Despicable Me 3
  7. The LEGO Ninjago Movie
  8. Mary and the Witch’s Flower
  9. Cars 3
  10. In this Corner of the World

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

  1. Happy End – Austria
  2. Loveless – Russia
  3. Thelma – Norway
  4. Where Life is Born – Mexico
  5. The Square – Sweden
  6. 120 Beats Per minute – France
  7. A Fantastic Woman – Chile
  8. Ishmael’s Ghosts – France
  9. Wild Mouse – Austria
  10. I Am Not Madame Bovary – China

BEST DOCUMENTARY

  1. An Inconvenient Sequel
  2. Last Men in Aleppo
  3. Abacus: Small Enough to Jail
  4. Aida’s Secret
  5. Untold Tales of Armisted Maupin
  6. Obit
  7. Casing Coral
  8. Strong Island
  9. Icarus
  10. Kedi

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

  1. Blade Runner 2049
  2. Dunkirk
  3. Darkest Hour
  4. Wonderstruck
  5. The Shape of Water
  6. mother!
  7. The Greatest Showman
  8. Detroit
  9. Call Me By Your Name
  10. The Lost City of  Z

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

  1. Victoria and Abdul
  2. Darkest Hour
  3. Wonderstruck
  4. Phantom Thread
  5. The Greatest Showman
  6. Murder on the Orient Express
  7. The Beguiled
  8. Beauty and the Beast
  9. The Current War
  10. Blade Runner 2049

BEST FILM EDITING

  1. Dunkirk
  2. Detroit
  3. Blade Runner 2049
  4. The Papers
  5. The Shape of Water
  6. Wonderstruck
  7. Get Out
  8. Darkest Hour
  9. Phantom Thread
  10. Mudbound

Best Makeup/Hair

  1. Darkest Hour
  2. Logan
  3. The Greatest Showman
  4. Guardians of the Galaxy
  5. The Shape of Water
  6. Murder on the Orient Express

Best Production Design

  1. Blade Runner 2049
  2. The Greatest Showman
  3. Darkest Hour
  4. Wnderstruck
  5. The Shape of Water
  6. Dunkirk
  7. Beauty and the Beast
  8. Murder on the Orient Express
  9. Phantom Thread
  10. The Current War

BEST SOUND EDITING

  1. Dunkirk
  2. Blade Runner 2049
  3. Detroit
  4. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
  5. The Shape of Water
  6. Wonder Woman
  7. The Greatest Showman
  8. War for the Planet of the Apes
  9. Darkest Hour
  10. Baby Driver

BEST SOUND MIXING

  1. Dunkirk
  2. Blade Runner 2049
  3. The Greatest Showman
  4. Detroit
  5. The Shape of Water
  6. Star Wars
  7. Get Out
  8. Baby Driver
  9. Beauty and the Beast
  10. Coco

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

  1. War for the Planet of the Apes
  2. Blade Runner 2049
  3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
  4. Guardians of the Galaxy, Vol 2
  5. Kong: Skull Island
  6. Spider Man Homecoming
  7. Dunkirk
  8. The Shape of Water
  9. Beauty and the Beast
  10. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Have no Chest , or some shit like that

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

  1. The Shape of Water
  2. Dunkirk
  3. Darkest Hour
  4. The Papers
  5. Wonderstruck
  6. Blade Runner 2049
  7. Murder on the Orient Express
  8. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
  9. Coco
  10. The Greatest Showman

Thank you for reading! Don’t forget to like and share on Facebook and Twitter!!

LAST CATEGORY NEXT!

academy-awards-oscars-e1421307492792

 

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

  1. “How Does a Moment Last Forever” – Beauty and the Beast
  2. “This is Me” – The Greatest Showman
  3. “Come Alive” – The Greatest Showman
  4. “Remember Me” – Coco
  5. “Evermore” – Beauty and the Beast
  6. “Tell Me How Long” – Chasing Coral
  7. “I Don’t Wanna Live Forever” – Fifty Shades Darker
  8. “Chase Me” – Baby Driver
  9. “Friends are Family” – The LEGO Batman Movie
  10. “It Ain’t Fair” – Detroit

 

 

 

Advertisements
90th Academy Awards, Early AUGUST

New Predictions and Venice Wrap Up

So as we speak, half of the international film industry is parting in Venice, Italy celebrating the end of the 72nd International Film Festival. The other half of the international film industry is in Toronto, Canada right now for the Toronto International Film Festival. We’ll see who win’s the People’s Choice Award at TIFF in a week, but as for now, we have the winners from Venice. The Venezuelan film Desde alla took home the Golden Lion, while the Argentinian film The Clan came in second place taking the Silver Lion.

Desde_allá The_Clan_(2015_film)

With that we switch to see who’s gonna be submitted for the Foreign Language Film Award at the Oscars. Venezuela won’t be submitting Desde Alla, since they’ve already submitted Gone wit the River, and it is possible that the film isn’t eligible to be submitted since it’s not been released in it’s home nation yet. On the other hand, Argentina’s The Clan was released in August and Argentina has yet to announce it’s submission, so The Clan is now the front runner to be the Argentinian nominee. Last year’s winner of the Golden Lion, Sweden’s A Pigeon Sat on a Branch Reflecting on Existence has been submitted as the Swedish nominee, so that is now a good bet to be on the short list, if not a nominee. The deadline for countries to submit films for the Foreign Language Film Oscar is October 1, and the Academy will announce the film list of submissions later in October. But for now, the predictions!

Best Picture:

  • Bridge of Spies
  • Brooklyn
  • Carol
  • The Danish Girl
  • The Hateful Eight
  • Joy
  • The Revenant
  • Steve Jobs
  • Youth

Best Director:

  • Todd Haynes – Carol
  • Tom Hooper – The Danish Girl
  • Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu – The Revenant
  • Steven Spielberg – Bridge of Spies
  • Quentin Tarantino – The Hateful Eight

Best Actor in a Lead Role:

  • Michael Caine – Youth
  • Bryan Cranston – Trumbo
  • Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
  • Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs
  • Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl

Best Actress in a Lead Role:

  • Cate Blanchett – Carol
  • Emily Blunt – Sicario
  • Jennifer Lawrence – Joy
  • Carey Mulligan – Suffragette
  • Saoirse Ronan – Brooklyn

Best Actor in a Supporting Role:

  • Tom Hardy – The Revenant
  • Michael Keaton – Spotlight
  • Harvey Keitel – Youth
  • Kurt Russell – The Hateful Eight
  • Mark Rylance – Bridge of Spies

Best Actress in a Supporting Role:

  • Jennifer Jason Leigh – The Hateful Eight
  • Rooney Mara – Carol
  • Ellen Page – Freeheld
  • Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl
  • Julie Walters – Brooklyn

Best Original Screenplay:

  • Bridge of Spies
  • The Hateful Eight
  • Joy
  • Son of Saul
  • Youth

Best Adapted Screenplay:

  • Brooklyn
  • Carol
  • The Danish Girl
  • The Revenant
  • Steve Jobs

Best Animated Feature Film:

  • The Good Dinosaur
  • Hell and Back
  • Inside Out
  • The Peanuts Movie
  • The Profit

Best Foreign Language Film

  • The Clan – Argentine
  • The Club – Chile
  • Dheepan – France
  • A Pigeon Sat on a Branch Reflecting on Existence – Sweden
  • Son of Saul – Hungary

Best Cinematography

  • Bridge of Spies
  • In the Heart of the Sea
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • The Revenant
  • Son of Saul

Best Costume Design

  • Cinderella
  • The Danish Girl
  • Far from the Madding Crowd
  • In the Heart of the Sea
  • Pan

Best Film Editing:

  • Bridge of Spies
  • The Danish Girl
  • Joy
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • The Revenant

Best Makeup and Hair

  • Black Mass
  • The Danish Girl
  • Pan

Best Production Design

  • Bridge of Spies
  • Cinderella
  • In the Heart of the Sea
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • Pan

Best Sound Editing

  • In the Heart of the Sea
  • Jurassic World
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • The Revenant
  • Spectre

Best Sound Mixing

  • In the Heart of the Sea
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • The Martian
  • Spectre
  • Star Wars Episode VII: The France Awakens

Best Visual Effects

  • In the Heart of the Sea
  • Jurassic World
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • That Martian
  • Star Wars: Episode VII The Force Awakens

Best Original Song:

  • “Cold One” – Ricki and the Flash
  • “Flashlight” – Pitch Perfect 2
  • “See You Again” – Furious 7
  • “Till It Happens to You” – The Hunting Ground
  • “Writing’s on the Wall” – Spectre

Best Original Score

  • Bridge of Spies
  • Carol
  • The Good Dinosaur
  • The Revenant
  • Sicario
New Predictions and Venice Wrap Up